UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Howard
  
Howard                
W-L: ( 2- 9) PR = 88.8845

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 0- 4 221 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 0- 6 221 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 3- 6 222 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 0- 5 222 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 227 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 1- 4 228 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 0- 9 301 A Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 5- 4 301 A Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 5- 4 415 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 0- 6 515 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 1-10 516 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 2- 4

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Louisiana               0- 4      -4    -5           1.07
   221 H Michigan State          0- 6      -6    -1    --    -5.04
   221 H Louisiana               3- 6      -3    -4           0.59
   222 A Michigan State          0- 5      -5    -2    -     -2.56
   227 H Minnesota               1- 4      -3    -2          -1.42
   228 A Arizona                 0- 9      -9    -9          -0.07
   301 A Minnesota               5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.06
   301 A Minnesota               5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.06
   415 A Maryland                0- 6      -6    -2    -     -3.89
   515 A Duke                    1-10      -9    -8          -0.53
   516 A Marshall                2- 4      -2    -6    +      3.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Michigan State          0- 6      -6    -1    --    -5.04
   222 A Michigan State          0- 5      -5    -2    -     -2.56
   415 A Maryland                0- 6      -6    -2    -     -3.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Minnesota               5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.06
   301 A Minnesota               5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.06
   516 A Marshall                2- 4      -2    -6    +      3.73

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     0- 4       -6.68      12.69       0.74         2.29            -6.81
   3 H Michigan State  (18-33, 90.6)     0- 6       -9.31      10.06      -0.74         2.29           -11.52
   3 H Louisiana       (28-28, 93.2)     3- 6       -6.68      12.69      -0.74         2.29            -8.51
   3 A Michigan State  (18-33, 90.6)     0- 5       -9.31      10.06       0.74         2.29            -9.82
   3 H Minnesota       (16-36, 91.2)     1- 4       -8.70      10.67      -0.74         2.29           -10.82
   3 A Arizona         (36-19, 97.1)     0- 9       -2.83      16.54       0.74         2.29            -2.39
   3 A Minnesota       (16-36, 91.2)     5- 4       -8.70      10.67       0.74         2.29            52.31
   3 A Minnesota       (16-36, 91.2)     5- 4       -8.70      10.67       0.74         2.29            52.31
   3 A Maryland        (19-30, 90.3)     0- 6       -9.64       9.73       0.74         2.29           -10.20
   3 A Duke            (46-15, 96.6)     1-10       -3.29      16.08       0.74         2.29            -2.91
   3 A Marshall        (37-19, 93.9)     2- 4       -6.03      13.34       0.74         2.29            -6.06
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        35.57

winning pts = 104.6105 losing points = -69.0356

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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